Gonzaga vs. San Francisco Prediction, Odds, Line, Unfold, and Picks – January 5 | 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Season


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Drew Timme and the (#9) Gonzaga Bulldogs (12-3) will go to the San Francisco Dons (11-6) on Thursday night time.

Drew Timme posted a 35-point, 10-rebound efficiency in a 111-88 house win over Pepperdine to assist lengthen the Bulldogs’ successful streak to seven video games. Six Bulldogs sat in double-figures with 2020 high prospect Julian Strawther simply behind Timme with 22 factors on 8-of-13 taking pictures.

Regardless of taking part in within the West Coast Convention, the Bulldogs have had one of the demanding schedules this season, taking part in the likes of Michigan State, Texas, Kentucky, Purdue, Xavier, Baylor, and Alabama.

Gonzaga vs. San Francisco Betting Odds

GroupUnfoldWholeCash Line
Gonzaga Bulldogs-9.5o156.5-450
San Francisco Dons+9.5u156.5+340

Odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook

Since beginning the season 7-1, San Francisco has been inconsistent, beating UNLV on the highway however shedding to UT Arlington and San Diego at house. Chris Gerlufsen is in his first season on the helm for the Dons after Todd Golden parlayed his success in San Fran into the pinnacle teaching job in Florida.

Two-time All-WCC and three-year starter Khalil Shabazz paces the workforce in scoring, whereas Washington State switch Tyrell Roberts and former Nevada ahead Zane Meeks additionally sit in double-figures. Texas A&M switch Marcus Williams can be within the combine.

ShotQuality Story of the Tape

Under, we’ll spotlight important ShotQuality information for this matchup, together with Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a participant’s common ShotQuality factors per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Whole SQpoints/Whole No. of Possessions.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs personal a 1.14 AdjOFF SQ this season, good for twelfth within the nation. San Francisco has the 129th-best AdjDEF SQ at 0.95. Gonzaga does nicely in all key stats, however in spacing the place they’re within the twenty second percentile, and rim & three price, the place they rank 240th within the nation. Conversely, the Dons are within the high 60 in each these defensive metrics.

The Bulldogs personal high-frequency numbers in reduce, ending on the rim, isolation, post-up, and transition shot sorts. They’re within the high 150 in all these shot sorts however rank within the high 50 in post-up and isolation. Conversely, the Dons are within the high 150 in all these classes besides in isolation and transition, rankings outdoors the highest 240.

The San Francisco Dons have a 1.01 AdjOFF SQ, the 164th-best mark within the nation. Gonzaga has posted a 0.95 AdjDEF SQ this season, clocking in at 51st within the nation. The Dons are within the high 30 in spacing and rim and three price. The Bulldogs are within the 67th percentile in defensive spacing and strong in defensive rim and three price.

San Francisco is within the nation’s high half in frequency relating to the next shot sorts: catch & shoot three-pointers, half-court, isolation, off-the-dribble three-pointers, off-screen, and decide & roll ball display. As well as, San Fran ranks within the high 100 in isolation and display units. Gonzaga is within the backside 100 in defending all these shot sorts.

Gonzaga vs. San Francisco Prediction

Gonzaga’s SQ PPP numbers might be higher, however additionally they do not take into account the SOS. Their key metric numbers recommend they’re a extra balanced workforce. Nonetheless, they need assistance to comprise a strong San Fran offense in tonight’s matchup.

It ought to be a packed home for this late-night WCC matchup, and the Dons ought to flip up as they attempt to upset the front-runner within the convention. That mentioned, they nonetheless want a solution for Timme, that means they might want to put factors on the board if they’re to hold with the Bulldogs. So take the over and anticipate a shootout on this one.

Prediction: Over 156.5 (-110)

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